Whether using a free entry or dropping money, gaming tournament fields is a fun mental game. UFCollective ownership projections help you understand where to differentiate from the field to help surface above the crowd, and how much chalk is palatable in a GPP lineup.
We’ll parse some ownership narratives with the aid of their metrics.
WEEK 14 DFS:Yahoo GPP lineup | Y! cash | DK cash | DK GPP | FD GPP | FD cash | Values | Stacks | DFS lineup builder
For DraftKings’ 13-game featured slate in NFL Week 14.
NFL Week 14 DFS Ownership: Quarterback
This week could see relatively flat ownership at the quarterback position with tight pricing top to bottom. Philip Rivers ($6,800) stands as good a chance as any at double-digit ownership since other Tier I QBs are off-slate or in brutal spots. …. Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,500) should also prove popular as a cap-save play with the best matchup.
Russell Wilson ($6,200) is one of the aforementioned Tier I QBs contributing to a flat-ownership week. Any other opponent would get Wilson plenty of play this week on DraftKings, but people aren’t touching passers against the Jaguars. … Kirk Cousins ($5,900) should get a similar fade at lower-tier pricing, as the Chargers will also deflate opposing QB ownership.
NFL Week 14 DFS Ownership: Running Back
UFCollective has Todd Gurley ($8,100) well ahead of the RB pack in ownership. The rest of the $7K club faces various concerns, and Le’Veon Bell is on the primetime slate. … Gio Bernard ($3,100) gets the Monday night discount with Joe Mixon still likely out. View Bernard as a free square.
Samaje Perine ($5,600) produced well in a featured back role until he missed a chunk of the Thursday nighter in concussion evaluation. He’s expected to resume that backfield share while likely getting low ownership playing the Chargers and coming off a prime-time dud. … Derrick Henry ($4,900) has shown high upside both weekly and on any attempt, though he’s busted in some other great spots and should get the fade.
NFL Week 14 DFS Ownership: Receiver
DeAndre Hopkins ($8,500) leads the league in targets, and Tom Savage leads the league in dropbacks since taking over, so no one’s shying from a Niners matchup at home. … UFCollective similarly projects Josh Gordon ($5,500) to near 25 percent owned, though at a much lower price tag.
Michael Crabtree ($6,700) could prove the only receiver among the top 10 on slate to go single-digit owned, as there just isn’t much trust in the Raiders offense after so many burns this season. … Paul Richardson ($3,900) and Tyler Locket ($3,400) should each plumb the depths of ownership, though you could tell a story where either manages to avoid Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye enough to go off.
NFL Week 14 DFS Ownership: Tight End
Travis Kelce ($7,400) is the only $5K-plusser to get a green opponent rank and should challenge for top chalk play even at premium price. … Evan Engram ($6,000) will be in the mix too after bouncing back to spark New York’s offense in Week 13.
Zach Ertz ($6,800) could see low ownership due to both unease over his recovery from concussion and the specter of the Rams’ top-five defense against TEs in DraftKings scoring. (Update: He’s out, and now UFCollective projects Kelce’s ownership pushing toward 20 percent.) … The people may also shy from Greg Olsen ($4,300) until they see his return to form on full workload, though the matchups facing Carolina’s WR1 and backfield could funnel work to the tight end position.